UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

2026-04-11

MASTER on this card

6–5

55% of scored fights

The Card

Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulbergmain event

Light Heavyweight · Carlos Ulberg def. Jiri Prochazka (KO, R1)

BASELINE✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Def scores: Prochazka 74.3 vs Ulberg 114.3. F2 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Ulberg backed by record (14-1-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Jiri Prochazka · 50%Ratings: Prochazka 3422 vs Ulberg 3390. Expected: 54.6% for F1.

MASTER✓ Carlos Ulberg · 59%MASTER: 2-6 vote, Tier B, BW: CAUTION

ML✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Score: -0.87. Top features: streak_diff(-1.95), finish_diff(+1.65), tdd_diff(-0.34).

MOMENTUM✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Momentum: Prochazka 5.5 vs Ulberg 9.0. Streak: 2W/0L vs 15W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Score: -1.34. Top factors: SLpM(-0.85), TDA(-0.04), WR(-0.07).

STYLE✗ Jiri Prochazka · 50%Pressure Fighter vs Striker: historical 55% for Pressure Fighter. F1 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✓ Carlos Ulberg · 50%Off scores: Prochazka 18.5 vs Ulberg 20.3. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa

Light Heavyweight · Paulo Costa def. Azamat Murzakanov (TKO, R3)

BASELINE✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Def scores: Murzakanov 138.4 vs Costa 82.8. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Murzakanov backed by record (16-0-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Ratings: Murzakanov 2938 vs Costa 2817. Expected: 66.8% for F1.

MASTER✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 82%MASTER: 6-2 vote, Tier B, BW: CONFIRM

ML✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Score: +22.61. Top features: finish_diff(+20.00), streak_diff(+1.35), wr_diff(+0.42).

MOMENTUM✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Momentum: Murzakanov 10.2 vs Costa 0.0. Streak: 10W/0L vs 1W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Paulo Costa · 50%Score: -1.46. Top factors: SLpM(-1.56), TDA(+0.23), WR(+0.21).

STYLE✗ Azamat Murzakanov · 50%Counter-Striker vs Pressure Fighter: historical 55% for Counter-Striker. F1 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✓ Paulo Costa · 50%Off scores: Murzakanov 16.2 vs Costa 19.0. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Charles Radtke vs Francisco Prado

Welterweight · Charles Radtke def. Francisco Prado (Decision, R3)

BASELINE✓ Charles Radtke · 50%Def scores: Radtke 141.4 vs Prado 69.5. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Charles Radtke · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Radtke backed by record (11-5-0) and experience.

ELO✓ Charles Radtke · 50%Ratings: Radtke 1778 vs Prado 1672. Expected: 64.9% for F1.

MASTER✓ Charles Radtke · 77%MASTER: 5-3 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

ML✗ Francisco Prado · 50%Score: -7.47. Top features: finish_diff(-8.35), tdd_diff(+1.00), age_diff(-0.96).

MOMENTUM✓ Charles Radtke · 50%Momentum: Radtke -2.5 vs Prado -8.6. Streak: 1W/0L vs 0W/4L.

ORACLE✗ Francisco Prado · 50%Score: -1.41. Top factors: SLpM(-1.29), TDA(+0.38), WR(-0.06).

STYLE✓ Charles Radtke · 50%Counter-Striker vs Striker: historical 52% for Counter-Striker. F1 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✗ Francisco Prado · 50%Off scores: Radtke 15.7 vs Prado 15.9. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos

Lightweight · no result recorded

BASELINEMarQuel Mederos · 50%Def scores: Padilla 106.1 vs Mederos 129.4. F2 has stronger defensive profile.

DATAMarQuel Mederos · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Mederos backed by record (11-1-0) and experience.

ELOChris Padilla · 50%Ratings: Padilla 2015 vs Mederos 1803. Expected: 77.3% for F1.

MASTERMarQuel Mederos · 56%MASTER: 5-3 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

MLChris Padilla · 50%Score: +25.57. Top features: finish_diff(+25.00), elo_diff(+0.64), wr_diff(-0.36).

MOMENTUMChris Padilla · 50%Momentum: Padilla 9.5 vs Mederos 7.5. Streak: 6W/0L vs 4W/0L.

ORACLEChris Padilla · 50%Score: +2.34. Top factors: SLpM(-0.06), TDA(+1.18), WR(-0.18).

STYLEMarQuel Mederos · 50%Striker vs Counter-Striker: historical 48% for Striker. F2 has stylistic advantage.

TESTChris Padilla · 50%Off scores: Padilla 18.5 vs Mederos 15.3. F1 has stronger offensive output.

Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr

Featherweight · Cub Swanson def. Nate Landwehr (TKO, R1)

BASELINE✓ Cub Swanson · 50%Def scores: Swanson 95.6 vs Landwehr 79.1. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Cub Swanson · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Swanson backed by record (30-14-0) and experience.

ELO✓ Cub Swanson · 50%Ratings: Swanson 1949 vs Landwehr 1469. Expected: 94.1% for F1.

MASTER✗ Nate Landwehr · 54%MASTER: 4-4 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

ML✗ Nate Landwehr · 50%Score: -20.52. Top features: finish_diff(-22.05), elo_diff(+1.44), age_diff(-0.37).

MOMENTUM✓ Cub Swanson · 50%Momentum: Swanson -2.5 vs Landwehr -5.9. Streak: 0W/1L vs 0W/2L.

ORACLE✗ Nate Landwehr · 50%Score: -1.80. Top factors: SLpM(-0.84), TDA(+0.25), WR(-0.04).

STYLE✗ Nate Landwehr · 50%Striker vs Pressure Fighter: historical 45% for Striker. F2 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✗ Nate Landwehr · 50%Off scores: Swanson 17.9 vs Landwehr 19.7. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Curtis Blaydes vs Josh Hokit

Heavyweight · Josh Hokit def. Curtis Blaydes (Decision, R3)

BASELINE✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Def scores: Blaydes 84.8 vs Hokit 177.7. F2 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Hokit backed by record (8-0-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Curtis Blaydes · 50%Ratings: Blaydes 3179 vs Hokit 2240. Expected: 99.6% for F1.

MASTER✓ Josh Hokit · 90%MASTER: 1-7 vote, Tier A, BW: CONFIRM

ML✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Score: -42.11. Top features: finish_diff(-41.20), elo_diff(+2.82), tdd_diff(-1.38).

MOMENTUM✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Momentum: Blaydes 0.0 vs Hokit 6.8. Streak: 1W/0L vs 2W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Score: -13.12. Top factors: SLpM(-2.51), TDA(-3.36), WR(-0.21).

STYLE✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Mirror match (Wrestler vs Wrestler). Edge to F2 via record+Elo tiebreaker.

TEST✓ Josh Hokit · 50%Off scores: Blaydes 22.9 vs Hokit 36.2. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Dominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker

Light Heavyweight · Dominick Reyes def. Johnny Walker (Decision, R3)

BASELINE✓ Dominick Reyes · 50%Def scores: Reyes 111.1 vs Walker 85.3. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Dominick Reyes · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Reyes backed by record (15-5-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Johnny Walker · 50%Ratings: Reyes 2701 vs Walker 2753. Expected: 42.7% for F1.

MASTER✓ Dominick Reyes · 74%MASTER: 5-3 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

ML✗ Johnny Walker · 50%Score: -5.25. Top features: finish_diff(-5.00), tdd_diff(+0.50), reach_diff(-0.25).

MOMENTUM✗ Johnny Walker · 50%Momentum: Reyes 0.2 vs Walker 1.5. Streak: 0W/1L vs 1W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Dominick Reyes · 50%Score: +0.93. Top factors: SLpM(+1.33), TDA(-0.13), WR(+0.04).

STYLE✓ Dominick Reyes · 50%Mirror match (Striker vs Striker). Edge to F1 via record+Elo tiebreaker.

TEST✓ Dominick Reyes · 50%Off scores: Reyes 17.7 vs Walker 16.9. F1 has stronger offensive output.

Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque

Middleweight · Vicente Luque def. Kelvin Gastelum (Sub, R1)

BASELINE✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 50%Def scores: Gastelum 95.2 vs Luque 71.1. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Gastelum backed by record (21-10-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 50%Ratings: Gastelum 2298 vs Luque 2064. Expected: 79.4% for F1.

MASTER✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 77%MASTER: 5-3 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

ML✓ Vicente Luque · 50%Score: -10.76. Top features: finish_diff(-11.40), elo_diff(+0.70), acc_diff(-0.27).

MOMENTUM✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 50%Momentum: Gastelum 2.2 vs Luque -5.9. Streak: 1W/0L vs 0W/2L.

ORACLE✓ Vicente Luque · 50%Score: -2.67. Top factors: SLpM(-1.16), TDA(+0.11), WR(+0.02).

STYLE✗ Kelvin Gastelum · 50%Mirror match (Striker vs Striker). Edge to F1 via record+Elo tiebreaker.

TEST✓ Vicente Luque · 50%Off scores: Gastelum 13.9 vs Luque 18.7. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown

Welterweight · Kevin Holland def. Randy Brown (Decision, R3)

BASELINE✗ Randy Brown · 50%Def scores: Holland 86.8 vs Brown 108.5. F2 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✗ Randy Brown · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Brown backed by record (20-7-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Randy Brown · 50%Ratings: Holland 2243 vs Brown 2451. Expected: 23.2% for F1.

MASTER✗ Randy Brown · 95%MASTER: 1-7 vote, Tier A, BW: CAUTION

ML✓ Kevin Holland · 50%Score: +16.24. Top features: finish_diff(+16.95), elo_diff(-0.62), tdd_diff(-0.34).

MOMENTUM✗ Randy Brown · 50%Momentum: Holland -5.9 vs Brown -2.5. Streak: 0W/2L vs 0W/1L.

ORACLE✗ Randy Brown · 50%Score: -0.12. Top factors: SLpM(-0.23), TDA(+0.07), WR(-0.09).

STYLE✗ Randy Brown · 50%Mirror match (Striker vs Striker). Edge to F2 via record+Elo tiebreaker.

TEST✗ Randy Brown · 50%Off scores: Holland 16.6 vs Brown 17.0. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Mateusz Gamrot vs Esteban Ribovics

Lightweight · Mateusz Gamrot def. Esteban Ribovics (Sub, R2)

BASELINE✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Def scores: Gamrot 129.6 vs Ribovics 78.6. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Gamrot backed by record (25-4-0) and experience.

ELO✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Ratings: Gamrot 2965 vs Ribovics 2297. Expected: 97.9% for F1.

MASTER✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 90%MASTER: 7-1 vote, Tier A, BW: CAUTION

ML✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Score: +6.64. Top features: finish_diff(+4.40), elo_diff(+2.00), slpm_diff(-0.72).

MOMENTUM✗ Esteban Ribovics · 50%Momentum: Gamrot -3.3 vs Ribovics 2.2. Streak: 0W/1L vs 1W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Score: +2.15. Top factors: SLpM(-4.80), TDA(+4.76), WR(-0.02).

STYLE✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Counter-Striker vs Pressure Fighter: historical 55% for Counter-Striker. F1 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✓ Mateusz Gamrot · 50%Off scores: Gamrot 22.3 vs Ribovics 21.9. F1 has stronger offensive output.

Patricio Freire vs Aaron Pico

Featherweight · Aaron Pico def. Patricio Freire (Decision, R3)

BASELINE✗ Patricio Freire · 50%Def scores: Freire 119.1 vs Pico 90.5. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✗ Patricio Freire · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Freire backed by record (37-8-0) and experience.

ELO✗ Patricio Freire · 50%Ratings: Freire 1899 vs Pico 1500. Expected: 90.9% for F1.

MASTER✗ Patricio Freire · 51%MASTER: 5-3 vote, Tier C, BW: N/A

ML✗ Patricio Freire · 50%Score: +1.14. Top features: elo_diff(+1.20), tdd_diff(+0.76), td_diff(-0.75).

MOMENTUM✗ Patricio Freire · 50%Momentum: Freire 1.2 vs Pico -3.6. Streak: 1W/0L vs 0W/1L.

ORACLE✓ Aaron Pico · 50%Score: -16.90. Top factors: SLpM(-1.20), TDA(-7.47), WR(+0.10).

STYLE✓ Aaron Pico · 50%Striker vs Wrestler: historical 42% for Striker. F2 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✓ Aaron Pico · 50%Off scores: Freire 14.4 vs Pico 30.1. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Tatiana Suarez vs Loopy Godinez

Women's Strawweight · Tatiana Suarez def. Loopy Godinez (Sub, R2)

BASELINE✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Def scores: Suarez 127.7 vs Godinez 117.4. F1 has stronger defensive profile.

DATA✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Confirms BASELINE. Suarez backed by record (12-1-0) and experience.

ELO✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Ratings: Suarez 2615 vs Godinez 2136. Expected: 94.0% for F1.

MASTER✓ Tatiana Suarez · 79%MASTER: 6-2 vote, Tier B, BW: CONFIRM

ML✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Score: +20.80. Top features: finish_diff(+19.30), elo_diff(+1.44), def_diff(-0.51).

MOMENTUM✗ Loopy Godinez · 50%Momentum: Suarez 2.7 vs Godinez 3.3. Streak: 1W/0L vs 2W/0L.

ORACLE✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Score: +0.64. Top factors: SLpM(-1.56), TDA(+1.45), WR(+0.19).

STYLE✓ Tatiana Suarez · 50%Wrestler vs Complete Fighter: historical 50% for Wrestler. F1 has stylistic advantage.

TEST✗ Loopy Godinez · 50%Off scores: Suarez 22.5 vs Godinez 22.5. F2 has stronger offensive output.

Analysis and entertainment only. Not betting advice.