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We publish the numbers.
Including the bad ones.

Calibrated UFC fight predictions — every engine measured against the closing line, every miss shown next to every hit. No accuracy theatre. Just whether a stated 70% actually happens 70% of the time.

01 / Events

The Calendar

Every card graded before the walkouts, settled the morning after. The next one drops here the moment it's announced.

Latest Card

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Every engine's read locked, confidence stamped, and the calibration table updated — with the results scored honestly the morning after.

2026-08-15 · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia, USACalibrated · not hyped
02 / Prediction Lab

The Honest Scoreboard

UFC betting markets are close to efficient — the closing line wins about two-thirds of the time. So we measure calibration, not bravado, and beating the market is the only result that would mean anything.

Market benchmark
67.0%
Brier 0.2103 · n=6,331
Genuine locked picks
801
490 correct · 61.2%
Lowest in-house Brier
ML
Brier 0.2233 · 65.0% acc · n=34
Engines beating the market
0
measured on Brier score
Open the Prediction Lab →Plot any engine against the closing line, sort every column, and read the misses.
03 / The Fighters

The Roster

Style, division and country. Every fighter we hold has a full profile — physicals, career and UFC records, striking and grappling rates, and every bout on file.

These six are a hand-picked shopfront. The database itself holds the whole roster — browse every fighter →

Lightweight
Ilia Topuria
Pressure Striker · Georgia / Spain
Welterweight
Islam Makhachev
Sambo Grappler · Dagestan
Light Heavyweight
Alex Pereira
Kickboxer · Brazil
Bantamweight
Merab Dvalishvili
Cardio Wrestler · Georgia
Women's Strawweight
Zhang Weili
Complete Fighter · China
Middleweight
Sean Strickland
Volume Pressure · USA